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Tech

Which company powers the first commercial fusion plant?

Company A
20%
Company B
37%
Company C
14%

+1 more

$31.7M Vol.
Culture

Will a streaming series win Best Drama at this year's top TV awards?

chance
$21.7M Vol.
Tech

Will a robotaxi service operate in 10+ US cities by year-end?

chance
$9.3M Vol.
Economics

Will US CPI year-over-year fall below 2.5% this year?

chance
$8.3M Vol.
Sports

Riverside Sox vs. Ironclad — who takes the series?

Riverside Sox
20%
Ironclad
80%
$7.7M Vol.
Climate

Will a Category 5 hurricane make US landfall this year?

Yes
13%
$7.1M Vol.
Sports

Comets vs. Harbor FC — who wins the semifinal?

Comets
60%
Harbor FC
40%
$5.3M Vol.
Culture

Which studio releases the highest-grossing film of the year?

Studio A
32%
Studio B
17%
Studio C
29%

+1 more

$4.7M Vol.
Politics

Will a snap election be called before year-end?

Yes
64%
$3.2M Vol.
Climate

Will global CO2 emissions decline year-over-year?

chance
$3.0M Vol.
Crypto

Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 this year?

chance
$1.5M Vol.
Tech

Will a major AI lab release a model that tops today's best benchmark this year?

Yes
61%
$1.2M Vol.
Politics

Will the ruling coalition win the next confidence vote?

chance
$1.1M Vol.
Politics

Which bloc wins the most seats in the next parliamentary election?

Governing coalition
19%
Opposition bloc
55%
Regional parties
11%

+1 more

$858.2K Vol.
Sports

Will this season see a new scoring record set?

Yes
44%
$708.6K Vol.
Politics

Will voter turnout exceed 60% in the next general election?

chance
$537.0K Vol.
Crypto

Will Ethereum's market cap exceed Bitcoin's before 2030?

Yes
12%
$344.3K Vol.
Climate

Will this year rank among the 5 hottest on record?

chance
$306.5K Vol.
Culture

Will this year's highest-grossing film cross $2B worldwide?

Yes
35%
$303.3K Vol.
Economics

Will the yield curve stay inverted through year-end?

Yes
17%
$249.8K Vol.
Crypto

Will a top-10 exchange face a solvency crisis this year?

Yes
13%
$244.7K Vol.
Sports

Will the Comets win this year's league championship?

chance
$178.8K Vol.
Economics

Will the Fed cut rates at its next meeting?

Yes
39%
$128.8K Vol.
Crypto

Will a spot XRP ETF be approved in the US this year?

chance
$122.3K Vol.